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Jak vypočítat Monte Carlo Retirement

Co je Monte Carlo Retirement?

Monte Carlo retirement planner simulates thousands of market scenarios to estimate success probability of retirement plan.

Průvodce krok za krokem

  1. 1Input retirement needs, portfolio size, asset allocation, inflation
  2. 2Simulate 1000+ random market scenarios
  3. 3Calculate percentage where funds last

Worked Examples

Vstup
Portfolio $1M, 4% withdrawal, 60/40 allocation
Výsledek
90% success rate (95% success with 3% withdrawal)
Industry standard approach

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Using average returns (ignores sequence risk)
  • Neglecting inflation adjustments

Frequently Asked Questions

What success rate is adequate?

Academic consensus: 90-95% for 30-year retirement.

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