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Cara Menghitung Monte Carlo Retirement

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Monte Carlo retirement planner simulates thousands of market scenarios to estimate success probability of retirement plan.

Panduan Langkah demi Langkah

  1. 1Input retirement needs, portfolio size, asset allocation, inflation
  2. 2Simulate 1000+ random market scenarios
  3. 3Calculate percentage where funds last

Contoh Terpecahkan

Masukan
Portfolio $1M, 4% withdrawal, 60/40 allocation
Hasil
90% success rate (95% success with 3% withdrawal)
Industry standard approach

Kesalahan Umum yang Harus Dihindari

  • Using average returns (ignores sequence risk)
  • Neglecting inflation adjustments

Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan

What success rate is adequate?

Academic consensus: 90-95% for 30-year retirement.

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Pengaturan

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