如何计算Dividend Discount
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Dividend Discount Model values stock as present value of all future dividends: P = D₁/(r-g) where D₁ is next dividend, r is return, g is growth.
分步指南
- 1Input next dividend, growth rate, required return
- 2Calculate intrinsic value
- 3Compare to market price for investment decision
例题解析
输入
Dividend $2, growth 5%, required return 10%
结果
Intrinsic value = $2 / (0.10-0.05) = $40
Highly sensitive to assumptions
常见错误注意事项
- ✕Using inappropriate growth rate
- ✕Assuming growth perpetual (unrealistic)
- ✕Neglecting terminal value
常见问题
Does DDM work for non-dividend stocks?
Not directly; requires expected future dividends or assumes buyback equivalent.
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